Spatial modelling of minimum temperatures over Ghana between the periods 2021-2040 and 2041-2060
Abstract 4 1. Introduction 5 2. Methodology 7 3. Results and discussion 10 4.Conclusion 13 References 13 SPATIAL MODELLING OF MINIMUM TEMPERATURES OVER GHANA BETWEEN THE PERIODS 2021-2040 AND 2041-2060 Abstract Global climate change is a prominent topic of concern globally and rising temperatures have been the most crucial marker of its occurrence. This study examines future minimum temperature variations (t-min) in Ghana under the high-emission Shared Socioeconomic Pathway scenario SSP5-8.5 using CMIP6-based projections for the next decades: 2021-2040 and 2041-2060. By calculating spatial differences and temperature anomalies during these periods, the projection identifies regions most exposed to warming trends. The projected maps demonstrate an intensifying trend in minimum temperatures, with the highest warming observed in northern and transitional ecological areas. These increases are expected to exacerbate threats in agricultural productivity, water resources, and human hea...